Justin McCareins is a career quality starter — a receiver whose body of work places McCareins in the top quarter of all players at the position historically. The Knox model values sustained contribution over flash, and McCareins's career arc reflects exactly that kind of reliable professional-grade performance.
Justin McCareins
A wide receiver with a top 30% among starters — the kind of consistent contributor every roster needs. Solid availability (excellent availability over their career) added to their value.
Career Value · VORP
VORP 52 · #2005 · Above AverageWorth 52 points of value above a freely-available replacement receiver — top 44% of all 4,649 ranked at the position. 4 of 7 seasons cleared the replacement bar, by +13 on average.See board →
Seasons above replacement
4 cleared
3 replaced
Beat replacement (adds to VORP) Below it — adds 0, never a debit
48
Replacement
the KC-H bar
Career Value · VORP
52 career value over replacement — #2005 all-time of 4,649. 7.4/season above a replacement-level WR.
Draft OutcomeSteal ↑
Pick #124 (Rd 4) · TEN · 2001 · +28.4 vs expected KV-H
59actual
30.6 expected · Δ+28.4
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