Mike Pagel is a career quality starter — a quarterback whose body of work places Pagel in the top half of all players at the position historically. The Knox model values sustained contribution over flash, and Pagel's career arc reflects exactly that kind of reliable professional-grade performance.
Mike Pagel
Top 29% all-time QBsHigh-End Starter
A quality quarterback with a top 30% among starters — a legitimate starter who contributed meaningfully across their career.
Career Value · VORP
VORP 99 · #1139 · High-ValueWorth 99 points of value above a freely-available replacement quarterback — top 25% of all 4,649 ranked at the position. 7 of 10 seasons cleared the replacement bar, by +14.1 on average.See board →
Seasons above replacement
7 cleared
3 replaced
Beat replacement (adds to VORP) Below it — adds 0, never a debit
36
Replacement
the KC-H bar
→
Career Value · VORP
99 career value over replacement — #1139 all-time of 4,649. 9.9/season above a replacement-level QB.
Draft OutcomeValue ↑
Pick #84 (Rd 4) · BAL · 1982 · +13.7 vs expected KV-H
51actual
37.3 expected · Δ+13.7
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