Sam Darnold is a career quality starter — a quarterback whose body of work places Darnold in the top quarter of all players at the position historically. The Knox model values sustained contribution over flash, and Darnold's career arc reflects exactly that kind of reliable professional-grade performance.
Regular-season all-time ranks
Postseason all-time ranks
Career Value · VORP
112 career value over replacement — #961 all-time of 4,649. 14/season above a replacement-level QB.
Pick #3 (Rd 1) · NYJ · 2018 · -6.4 vs expected KV-H
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A quality quarterback with a top 30% among starters — a legitimate starter who contributed meaningfully across their career.
Worth 112 points of value above a freely-available replacement quarterback — top 22% of all 4,649 ranked at the position. 6 of 8 seasons cleared the replacement bar, by +18.7 on average.See board →
Seasons above replacement
6 seasons × ~18.7 surplus ≈ VORP 112
Ryan Tannehill
QB
88% match