Hayden Hurst is a career quality starter — a tight end whose body of work places Hurst in the top quarter of all players at the position historically. The Knox model values sustained contribution over flash, and Hurst's career arc reflects exactly that kind of reliable professional-grade performance.
Hayden Hurst
A quality tight end with a top 30% among starters — a legitimate starter who contributed meaningfully across their career.
Career Value · VORP
VORP 63 · #1758 · Above AverageWorth 63 points of value above a freely-available replacement tight end — top 39% of all 4,649 ranked at the position. 6 of 7 seasons cleared the replacement bar, by +10.5 on average.See board →
Seasons above replacement
6 cleared
Beat replacement (adds to VORP) Below it — adds 0, never a debit
46
Replacement
the KC-H bar
→
Career Value · VORP
63 career value over replacement — #1758 all-time of 4,649. 9/season above a replacement-level TE.
Draft OutcomeValue ↑
Pick #25 (Rd 1) · BAL · 2018 · +4.2 vs expected KV-H
59actual
54.8 expected · Δ+4.2
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