J.J. Watt is building a case for Canton — a 74% HOF probability suggests his career already clears the historical enshrinement bar in most models. His overall career value places Watt in the top 1% of all pass rushers in the StatVault encyclopedia.

DEARI#99ACT

J.J. Watt

5× Pro Bowl5× All-ProTop 0% all-time pass rushersFranchise Cornerstone👑 #1 Edge Rusher · 2015 🌅 Early Bloomer · 2012Two-Way ProfileTeam Carrier · #76

Height6'5"

Weight288 lb

Born

Team Carrier Evidence

Ranked #76 of 600 by seasons where high individual production happened on low-win teams. Score aggregates only tracked StatVault categories.

Full board

Total Score

109

2 qualifying seasons

2013 HOU·2 team wins#15

Sacks · 11 · score 55

2022 ARI·4 team wins#8

Sacks · 13 · score 54

All-Time Standing

how this career measures against the all-time greats at the position

Career Value · VORP

316 career value over replacement — #108 all-time of 4,649. 28.7/season above a replacement-level EDGE.

Career Profile

Led league 2×5 top-10

Draft OutcomeSteal ↑

Pick #11 (Rd 1) · HOU · 2011 · +36.8 vs expected KV-H

97actual

60.2 expected · Δ+36.8

💔+75.8 stolen VORP·2.64 szns lost

Fan Rating

Rate J.J. Watt — All-Time

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Compare J.J. Watt vs Player Report data error

Solid

of 100

Reached 58% of the all-time Sacks leader — a solid all-time profile at the position.

58% of the all-time Sacks leader58

1 category ≥25% of the all-time leader33

A 0–100 scale where 100 = matched the all-time leaderat this position. Built only from visible encyclopedia data — career production vs. the all-time leader, plus efficiency (EPA) and comparable-player confidence — so it's a transparent context score, not a subjective rating. Tiers: Elite ≥ 85 · Strong ≥ 65 · Solid ≥ 45 · Depth < 45. Comparable-player confidence: 94%.

Encyclopedia Coverage7/8 data layers

StatVault aggregates multiple open-licensed and proprietary sources into a single profile. The depth indicator above shows which layers are available for this player.

Bio & DraftBirth date, height/weight, draft round/pick, college — sourced from nflverse players.csv (CC-BY 4.0). Covers all NFL eras.

Season Stats (1999–present)Week-by-week box scores aggregated to season totals: passing, rushing, receiving, defense. Source: nflverse player_stats. Counting stats are exact; rates are derived.

Advanced (EPA, 1999–present)Not available for this player

Snap Counts (2012–present)Offensive, defensive, and special-teams snap counts with team-share percentages. Essential for OL and situational players. Source: nflverse snap_counts.

Defensive StatsMaterial defensive production only: playmaking stats, 10+ tackles, or 50+ defensive snaps. Source: nflverse player_stats and snap_counts.

College StatsCollege attribution is present, but this profile artifact does not yet carry a parsed college stat table.

NFL Combine / Pro Day40-yard dash, vertical, broad jump, 3-cone, shuttle, bench press. Source: nflverse combine.csv.

Proprietary LayersKV-H (Knox Value-Historical) — era-normalized career rating 0–100 calibrated within position group (1999+ coverage). SIS (Snap Impact Score, 2012+) — per-snap production z-scored within position. VORP — value over replacement player. Durability IQ — games-played percentile adjusted for era.

Pre-1999 players have bio + draft data but counting stats are not available from any freely-licensed source. Players with ★ Career Only see verified career aggregates from nflverse draft_picks.

Per-Snap Impact

Edge Rushers · proprietary · 2012+

Elite

SIS

Disruption / 100 snaps:8.035See leaderboard →

Disruption/1008.035Snap share86.9%Def snaps6,988ReliableCV 0.32

Production per snap — the box score normalized by opportunity. SIS is z-scored within edge rushers, shrinkage-regularized so small samples don't spike, over the NFL snap-count era (2012+).

Career Aging Trajectory

vs. position group average · KV-H basis

Amber = this player (normalized to own peak). Indigo = average edge rushers aging curve. Group peak age: 25. Source: StatVault KV-H era (1999+).

Combine · 2011

Percentiles compare each raw measurement against position peers, the full combine pool, and the same draft class where enough samples exist.

EDGE · 2011 class

4.81s

40-Yard

Below avg · 43th pct

Pos 43thAll 36thClass Pos 43thClass All 37th

37"

Vertical

Strong · 85th pct

Pos 85thAll 82thClass Pos 92thClass All 85th

120"

Broad Jump

Above avg · 72th pct

Pos 72thAll 66thClass Pos 80thClass All 75th

34 reps

Bench

Elite · 97th pct

Pos 97thAll 97thClass Pos 98thClass All 98th

6.88s

3-Cone

Elite · 95th pct

Pos 95thAll 85thClass Pos 89thClass All 75th

4.21s

Shuttle

Strong · 86th pct

Pos 86thAll 73thClass Pos 85thClass All 64th

Understanding These Stats

Rushing

Att — Rushing attempts (carries).

Yds — Rushing yards.

TD — Rushing touchdowns.

Y/A — Yards per carry — rushing yards ÷ carries. The core rushing efficiency rate; 4.5+ is solid, 5+ is elite.

TD% — Touchdown rate per carry (TDs ÷ carries × 100) — measures scoring efficiency per touch independent of volume. Red-zone workhorses lead here.

1D — First downs gained on rushing plays.

1D% — First-down conversion rate (first downs ÷ carries × 100) — how often a carry moves the chains. Top RBs convert on 25%+ of attempts.

Fmb — Rushing fumbles lost — the key ball-security stat for running backs. Below 1 per season is elite.

Receiving

Tgt — Targets — how many times the receiver was thrown to, regardless of completion.

Rec — Receptions — catches made.

Yds — Receiving yards.

TD — Receiving touchdowns.

Ctch% — Catch rate — receptions ÷ targets × 100. Measures how reliably a receiver turns opportunities into gains. 70%+ is elite.

Y/R — Yards per reception — receiving yards ÷ receptions. Measures big-play ability; 15+ is elite for WRs.

Y/Tgt — Yards per target — receiving yards ÷ targets. The single most complete receiving efficiency metric: accounts for both drops and incomplete targets. Elite receivers post 8+ yards per target.

AirYd/T — Air yards per target — average depth of route at time of target. High values indicate a deep threat role; low values indicate a slot/check-down role.

1D — First downs gained on receiving plays.

Defense

Tkl / Solo / Ast — Combined tackles (Solo + ½ Assist). Solo = unassisted. Ast = helped by a teammate.

TFL — Tackles for loss — stops made behind the line of scrimmage (run stuffs + QB contain).

QBHits — QB hits — any legal contact on the quarterback, including but beyond sacks (hurries that land).

Sk — Sacks — tackled the QB behind the line for a loss. Half-sacks shared between defenders.

Dis — Disruption plays = sacks + QB hits + TFL. The composite pass-rush / run-stop impact stat for one season. Elite pass rushers post 30+ disruption plays per season.

Int — Interceptions caught by this defender.

PD — Passes defended — deflections and breakups.

FF / FR — Forced fumbles (stripped or jarred loose). Fumble Recoveries.

TD — Defensive touchdowns — picks, fumble returns, safeties returned.

Sfty — Safeties — tackled the ball carrier in their own end zone.

Snap Counts (2012–present)

Off / Off% — Offensive snaps played and share of team total. The most reliable usage metric for skill positions and OL.

Def / Def% — Defensive snaps played and share of team total.

ST / ST% — Special-teams snaps played and share of team total.

Proprietary StatVault Metrics

KV-H (Knox Value-Historical) — Era-normalized career rating 0–100 within position group, calibrated so a 50 = average starter and 90+ = all-time great. Covers 1999–present. Built on a 5-year IQR/robust-std era window.

SIS (Snap Impact Score) — Per-snap production z-scored within position group and era (2012+). Measures how much a player produced per opportunity, not raw volume.

VORP (Value Over Replacement) — Sum of max(0, season KV-H − positional replacement level) across a career. Measures career value above the minimum-roster baseline at each position.

Durability IQ — 0–100 score reflecting how many games a player played relative to peers at the same position in the same era. Adjusts for injury-shortened seasons.

Postseason Career

9 playoff games

Rushing

Att1Yds-1Y/A-1.0

Defense

Tkl26Solo16Ast10TFL10QBHits10Sk6.0Dis26.0Int1PD6TD1

Snap Counts

Off1Off%0.4%Def208Def%59.4%ST7ST%6.6%

College Stats

Wisconsin; Central MichiganCollege listed; stat table pending import

College stats are not imported for this profile yet.

StatVault has the verified college attribution (Wisconsin; Central Michigan), but no parsed college box-score table is present in this profile artifact. The section stays here so every profile has a consistent college-stats landing point without fabricating unavailable rows.

Movementderived from season history

2022final season
Last recorded season with ARI
2021team change
Joined ARI (from HOU)
2011draft
Drafted by HOU — Round 1, Pick 11

Athletic & Unique Profile

verified measurements and curated source-tagged facts

6'5" / 288 lb

Frame

290 lb at 4.81s

Size-speed

37" vert / 120" broad

Explosion

34 reps

Bench power

Injury History

2 career games missed (Out)

From nflverse weekly injury reports · coverage begins 2009.

Season	Team	Games Out	Designations
2022	ARI	0	W1Questionable· CalfW2Questionable· CalfW4Questionable· Calf / Illness
2021	ARI	2	W8Out· ShoulderW9Out· Shoulder
2018	HOU	0	W13Questionable· Knee
2015	HOU	0	W8Questionable· Back

Knox

StatVault's proprietary player intelligence, informed by full career data. How Knox works →

Historical Knox · KV-H

Era-normalized career quality — z-scored against 11-season peers. See all →

peak 97

Season Report Cards· KV-H era-normalized per season

B2011

A+2012

A2013

A+2014

A+2015

F2017

A+2018

B2019

B2020

C2021

A+2022

Availability

Career durability — games played vs. scheduled, across 12 seasons.

78%

20112022

2016 · cause not documented · 19%2017 · cause not documented · 31%2019 · cause not documented · 50%

Durability IQ

Composite score across availability, IR frequency, and injury severity. See all →

Durable

Canton Monitor · HOF

Calibrated Hall-of-Fame probability — fit against actual enshrinement. See all →

74%

Active · Bubble pace

What carries the case

All-Pro 42.1%Era Quality (KV-H) 30.6%Pro Bowls 10.5%Longevity 10.5%League Leads 5.6%All-Time Ranks 0.7%

Monitor score 142.6 · components sum to the score (All-Pro ×12 · Pro Bowl ×3 · League Lead ×4 · ranks/era/longevity weighted).

Career Fingerprint

Statistical profile across 5 dimensions

Overall

Longevity80

Peak97

Accolades69

Consistency50

Per-Snap99

Historical Rank · Era-Adjusted

Best single season, projected to Sacks in a modern 17-game schedule. See all →

2012 · EDGE · all-time

Wasted Talent#6 most affected

This player carries the statistical signature of a Hall-of-Fame candidate whose career was cut short by injury or circumstance. The gap between their ceiling and actual production is quantified below.

HOF Probability

7360%

active-bubble

Durability IQ

Durable

Availability Rate

7800%

of games played vs eligible

IR / Lost Seasons

seasons lost to injury

Era Translator

Sacks translated to the 2025NFL — each season's standing among its own-era peers, projected onto 2025's scoring environment. Modern-era (1999+) coverage.

Season	Actual Sacks	Sacks/G	→ 2025 Sacks	→ 2025 /G
2011	5.5	0.3	6+0.5	0.3
2012	20.5	1.3	20-0.5	1.2
2013	10.5	0.7	10-0.5	0.6
2014	20.5	1.3	20-0.5	1.2
2015	17.5	1.1	17-0.5	1
2017	0	0	0	0
2018	16	1	16	0.9
2019	4	0.6	9+5	0.5
2020	5	0.3	5	0.3
2021	1	0.1	3+2	0.2
2022	12.5	0.8	13+0.5	0.8

Data: nflverse:players, nflverse:player_stats, nflverse:player_stats_def, nflverse:snap_counts, nflverse:combine, nflverse:draft_picks, nflverse:injuries · multi-source verified via the StatVault Oracle · updated 7/31/2026

J.J. Watt 2021–2022

2021 · Shoulder · 41%

J.J. Watt

Team Carrier Evidence

All-Time Standing

Per-Snap Impact

Career Aging Trajectory

Combine · 2011

Postseason Career

Rushing

Defense

Snap Counts

College Stats

Reference Graph

Top Teammates

2011 Draft Class· this player went #11

Franchise Succession

Similar Players

Movementderived from season history

Athletic & Unique Profile

Injury History

Knox

Era Translator