Jay Cutler is one of the most consistent quarterbacks of his generation — a player whose career coefficient of variation places him among the most reliable performers at the position. Year in, year out, Cutler delivered without dramatic peaks or valleys — the kind of player who earns trust, not headlines.

QBMIA#6ACT

Jay Cutler

1× Pro BowlTop 12% all-time QBsElite Playmaker🌅 Early Bloomer · 2008 Team Carrier · #114

Height6'3"

Weight231 lb

BornApr 29, 1983

Age43

CollegeVanderbilt

Team Carrier Evidence

Ranked #114 of 600 by seasons where high individual production happened on low-win teams. Score aggregates only tracked StatVault categories.

Full board

Total Score

6 qualifying seasons

2014 CHI·5 team wins#10

Passing Touchdowns · 28 · score 32

2014 CHI·5 team wins#13

Passing Yards · 3,812 · score 26

2015 CHI

Career Value · VORP

222 career value over replacement — #300 all-time of 4,649. 18.5/season above a replacement-level QB.

Career Profile

5 top-10 seasonstop-10 marks Compiler34% in top 3 yrs 2-phase playertwo-way Mr. ReliableCV 0.19

Draft OutcomeValue ↑

Pick #11 (Rd 1) · DEN · 2006 · +2.8 vs expected KV-H

63actual

60.2 expected · Δ+2.8

💔+32.2 stolen VORP·1.76 szns lost

Fan Rating

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Compare Jay Cutler vs Player Report data error

All-Time Standing

how this career measures against the all-time greats at the position

Depth

of 100

Reached 39% of the all-time Passing Yards leader — a rotational/depth all-time profile at the position.

39% of the all-time Passing Yards leader39

2 categories ≥25% of the all-time leader67

A 0–100 scale where 100 = matched the all-time leaderat this position. Built only from visible encyclopedia data — career production vs. the all-time leader, plus efficiency (EPA) and comparable-player confidence — so it's a transparent context score, not a subjective rating. Tiers: Elite ≥ 85 · Strong ≥ 65 · Solid ≥ 45 · Depth < 45. Comparable-player confidence: 90%.

Encyclopedia Coverage6/8 data layers

StatVault aggregates multiple open-licensed and proprietary sources into a single profile. The depth indicator above shows which layers are available for this player.

Bio & DraftBirth date, height/weight, draft round/pick, college — sourced from nflverse players.csv (CC-BY 4.0). Covers all NFL eras.

Season Stats (1999–present)Week-by-week box scores aggregated to season totals: passing, rushing, receiving, defense. Source: nflverse player_stats. Counting stats are exact; rates are derived.

Advanced (EPA, 1999–present)Not available for this player

Snap Counts (2012–present)Offensive, defensive, and special-teams snap counts with team-share percentages. Essential for OL and situational players. Source: nflverse snap_counts.

Defensive StatsNot available for this player

College StatsCollege attribution is present, but this profile artifact does not yet carry a parsed college stat table.

NFL Combine / Pro Day40-yard dash, vertical, broad jump, 3-cone, shuttle, bench press. Source: nflverse combine.csv.

Proprietary LayersKV-H (Knox Value-Historical) — era-normalized career rating 0–100 calibrated within position group (1999+ coverage). SIS (Snap Impact Score, 2012+) — per-snap production z-scored within position. VORP — value over replacement player. Durability IQ — games-played percentile adjusted for era.

Pre-1999 players have bio + draft data but counting stats are not available from any freely-licensed source. Players with ★ Career Only see verified career aggregates from nflverse draft_picks.

Understanding These Stats

Passing

Cmp / Att — Completions and pass attempts.

Cmp% — Completion percentage — completions ÷ attempts × 100.

Yds — Passing yards — total air + yards after catch on completions.

TD / TD% — Passing touchdowns. TD% = TDs per 100 attempts, measuring scoring efficiency.

Int / Int% — Interceptions thrown. Int% = INTs per 100 attempts — the primary ball-security metric.

Y/A — Yards per attempt — passing yards ÷ attempts. The core passing efficiency rate.

AdjY/A — Adjusted yards per attempt: (Pass Yds + 20×TD − 45×INT) ÷ Att. Penalizes turnovers and rewards touchdowns — widely considered the most predictive single-season QB metric.

TD:INT — TD-to-interception ratio — passing touchdowns ÷ interceptions thrown. Elite QBs sustain career ratios above 3.0; HOF greats often exceed 4.0. Not shown when no interceptions.

Rate — NFL passer rating — the official formula combining Cmp%, Y/A, TD%, and INT% on a 0–158.3 scale. Good QB performance ≈ 90+; elite ≈ 110+.

Sk — Times sacked — how many times the QB was brought down behind the line of scrimmage.

Rushing

Att — Rushing attempts (carries).

Yds — Rushing yards.

TD — Rushing touchdowns.

Y/A — Yards per carry — rushing yards ÷ carries. The core rushing efficiency rate; 4.5+ is solid, 5+ is elite.

TD% — Touchdown rate per carry (TDs ÷ carries × 100) — measures scoring efficiency per touch independent of volume. Red-zone workhorses lead here.

1D — First downs gained on rushing plays.

1D% — First-down conversion rate (first downs ÷ carries × 100) — how often a carry moves the chains. Top RBs convert on 25%+ of attempts.

Fmb — Rushing fumbles lost — the key ball-security stat for running backs. Below 1 per season is elite.

Snap Counts (2012–present)

Off / Off% — Offensive snaps played and share of team total. The most reliable usage metric for skill positions and OL.

Def / Def% — Defensive snaps played and share of team total.

ST / ST% — Special-teams snaps played and share of team total.

Proprietary StatVault Metrics

KV-H (Knox Value-Historical) — Era-normalized career rating 0–100 within position group, calibrated so a 50 = average starter and 90+ = all-time great. Covers 1999–present. Built on a 5-year IQR/robust-std era window.

SIS (Snap Impact Score) — Per-snap production z-scored within position group and era (2012+). Measures how much a player produced per opportunity, not raw volume.

VORP (Value Over Replacement) — Sum of max(0, season KV-H − positional replacement level) across a career. Measures career value above the minimum-roster baseline at each position.

Durability IQ — 0–100 score reflecting how many games a player played relative to peers at the same position in the same era. Adjusts for injury-shortened seasons.

Franchise Succession

the room, before and after

Jay inherited the Chicago Bears QB room from Kyle Orton (2005–2008), and handed it to Mitchell Trubisky (2017–2020).

Jim McMahon 1982–1988Mike Tomczak 1985–1990Jim Harbaugh 1987–1993Erik Kramer 1994–1998Cade McNown 1999–2000Kyle Orton 2005–2008Jay Cutler 2009–2016Mitchell Trubisky 2017–2020Justin Fields 2021–2023Caleb Williams 2024–2025

Jay inherited the Denver Broncos QB room from Jake Plummer (2003–2006), and handed it to Kyle Orton (2009–2011).

Gary Kubiak 1983–1991John Elway 1983–1998Brian Griese 1998–2002Jake Plummer 2003–2006Jay Cutler 2006–2008Kyle Orton 2009–2011Peyton Manning

The room is reconstructed from arrival order among durable members (≥4 seasons with the club) at the player’s position group — a lineage by arrival, not a week-by-week depth chart. Distinct from the league-wide positional GOAT torch.

Injury History

16 career games missed (Out)

From nflverse weekly injury reports · coverage begins 2009.

Season	Team	Games Out	Designations
2017	MIA	2	W8Out· RibsW9Questionable· RibsW12Out· Concussion
2016	CHI	1	W3Doubtful· right ThumbW4Doubtful· right ThumbW5Doubtful· right ThumbW6Doubtful· right ThumbW7Doubtful· right ThumbW12Doubtful· right ShoulderW13Out· right Shoulder
2015	CHI	1	W3Out· HamstringW4Questionable· HamstringW5Questionable· Hamstring
2013	CHI	5	W9Out· GroinW11Out· AnkleW12Out· AnkleW13Out· AnkleW14Out· Ankle
2012	CHI	1	W11Out· ConcussionW12Questionable· Concussion
2011	CHI	5	W12Out· right ThumbW13Out· right ThumbW14Out· right ThumbW15Out· right ThumbW16Out· right Thumb
2010	CHI	1	W5Out· Head

Knox

StatVault's proprietary player intelligence, informed by full career data. How Knox works →

Historical Knox · KV-H

Era-normalized career quality — z-scored against 12-season peers. See all →

peak 67

Season Report Cards· KV-H era-normalized per season

F2006

B2007

B+2008

B2009

C+2010

C+2011

C+2012

C+2013

B2014

C+2015

F2016

C2017

Availability

Career durability — games played vs. scheduled, across 12 seasons.

84%

20062017

2006 · backup · 5/16 G

2011 · right Thumb · 63%2013 · Ankle · 69%2016 · right Shoulder · 31%

Durability IQ

Composite score across availability, IR frequency, and injury severity. See all →

Durable

Era Translator

Pass Yds translated to the 2025NFL — each season's standing among its own-era peers, projected onto 2025's scoring environment. Modern-era (1999+) coverage.

Season	Actual Pass Yds	Pass Yds/G	→ 2025 Pass Yds	→ 2025 /G
2006	1,001	200.2	3,672+2,671	216
2007	3,497	218.6	3,917+420	230.4
2008	4,525	282.8	4,610+85	271.2
2009	3,666	229.1	3,903+237	229.6
2010	3,274	218.3	3,708+434	218.1
2011	2,319	231.9	3,814+1,495	224.4
2012	3,033	202.2	3,345+312	196.7
2013	2,621	238.3	3,723+1,102	219
2014	3,812	254.1	3,916+104	230.3
2015	3,659	243.9	3,735+76	219.7
2016	1,059	211.8	3,207+2,148	188.6
2017	2,666	190.4	2,823+157	166.1

Jay Cutler

Team Carrier Evidence

All-Time Standing

Career Aging Trajectory

Combine · 2006

Postseason Career

Passing

Rushing

College Stats

Reference Graph

Top Teammates

2006 Draft Class· this player went #11

Franchise Succession

Similar Players

Movementderived from season history

Athletic & Unique Profile

Injury History

Knox

Era Translator

Career Geography